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Where Will They Fall?

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new internationalist
issue 211 - September 1990

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Sparks from Eastern Europe
- where will they fall ?
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UNITED STATES
Economic problems loom large for US. Huge deficit and tough competition from Germany and Japan.
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AFRICA
Aid for and interest in Africa dwindling. But one-party state systems threatened as popular demand for political plurality grows.
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ETHIOPIA
Mengistu regime in serious trouble. Soviet bloc has withdrawn support, army is demoralized and rebel groups are winning the war.
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USSR
Soviet economic reconstruction will take 50 years, experts say, and will cost billions of dollars. Will capitalism provide?
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CHINA
Heavy government repression. But ingredients for European-style revolution there - including nascnet ethnic unrest.
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INDO-CHINA
Pol Pot's dreaded Khmer Rouge at last ditched by US - but already poised to take over the country. US opens belated dialogue with Vietnam.
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AFGHANISTAN
Western support for Mujahedin rebels is waning. Victory against Soviet-backed government now unlikely.
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CENTRAL AMERICA
US invasion of Panama launches more aggressive policy towards Central America. Soviet approval counts for nothing.
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LATIN AMERICA
More industrialized countries like Brazil may find new markets in the East. But protectionism in the united Europe could be a threat.
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SOUTHERN AFRICA
Cuts in Soviet aid and support lead to more poverty and hunger in Mozambique and Angola.
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INDIA / PAKISTAN
Border tensions running high, not helped by arms race. Conditions ripe for war.
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JAPAN
New investment opportunities in the changed world but more hostility from the US. Japan's rearmament lobby may grow as a result.
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PACIFIC
Fearing regional instability Aotearoa / New Zealand, Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore are increasing their defence budgets.
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New Internationalist issue 211 magazine cover This article is from the September 1990 issue of New Internationalist.
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